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Due to this direct competition we predicted that the market share of these original-IP games will decrease in 2018. We also predicted that 2) original-IP games like Idle Heroes, Legendary and Empires & Puzzles that have innovated to create new, successful, proven designs in the RPG market will become targets for replication.

In the last year’s predictions we predicted that: 1) franchises would be the name of the game in 2018, helping to maintain the RPG category as a perennial strength in the grossing rankings. What we predicted last year and how accurate were we They are there more to show trends and to give rough estimates. Please, take the numbers presented with a giant grain of salt. Once we had a clear view of what happened, we got together and wrote our predictions.

We pulled the data of top 500 games (excluding China, Japan and Korea) from Sensor Tower and aligned the data with the genres, categories and sub-categories. Then we further broke down the genres into categories based on games and then we further divided each category into a sub-category based.Īs as example, Candy Crush Saga is in a) Casual Games genre > Puzzle Games category > Match & Blast sub-category Also, the other 2019 Predictions can be found here.īefore you jump in, let us sum up how we arrived to the predictions.įirst we created a taxonomy together with Game Refinery dividing the games market into four different genres: Casual, Mid-Core, Casino and Sports. To make sure you don’t miss all the following posts focusing on mid-core predictions, please do subscribe to the Deconstructor of Fun’s infrequent but powerful newsletter.